Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000148 0.000163 0.000180 0.000199 0.000221 0.000245 0.000272
2025-08-31 0.000114 0.000136 0.000161 0.000193 0.000231 0.000276 0.000335
2025-09-07 0.000097 0.000122 0.000152 0.000193 0.000246 0.000312 0.000404
2025-09-14 0.000087 0.000114 0.000148 0.000196 0.000263 0.000352 0.000481
2025-09-21 0.000076 0.000103 0.000140 0.000193 0.000269 0.000376 0.000539
2025-09-28 0.000067 0.000093 0.000130 0.000185 0.000268 0.000389 0.000583
2025-10-05 0.000062 0.000089 0.000128 0.000188 0.000281 0.000423 0.000661
2025-10-12 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000192 0.000298 0.000464 0.000754
2025-10-19 0.000053 0.000081 0.000122 0.000190 0.000302 0.000485 0.000817
2025-10-26 0.000050 0.000078 0.000120 0.000192 0.000315 0.000522 0.000912
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.000074 0.000116 0.000190 0.000320 0.000545 0.000983
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000070 0.000113 0.000189 0.000326 0.000571 0.001065
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.000066 0.000109 0.000186 0.000329 0.000594 0.001143
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000061 0.000103 0.000180 0.000326 0.000604 0.001202
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000059 0.000101 0.000180 0.000335 0.000639 0.001316
2025-12-07 0.000033 0.000057 0.000100 0.000183 0.000351 0.000688 0.001466
2025-12-14 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000180 0.000352 0.000708 0.001558
2025-12-21 0.000028 0.000051 0.000091 0.000173 0.000346 0.000712 0.001610
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000049 0.000090 0.000176 0.000359 0.000758 0.001772
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000049 0.000091 0.000180 0.000376 0.000817 0.001974
2026-01-11 0.000025 0.000046 0.000088 0.000177 0.000378 0.000841 0.002091
2026-01-18 0.000024 0.000045 0.000087 0.000180 0.000392 0.000893 0.002293
2026-01-25 0.000023 0.000044 0.000085 0.000178 0.000395 0.000921 0.002432